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Email Version, Section 1, Tuesday 05/22/2001
The SplitTrader.com Newsletter          Tuesday 05/22/2001 1 of 1
Copyright 2001, All rights reserved.
Redistribution in any form is strictly prohibited.

  - Your World Leader for Trading Stock Splits on the Internet -

Posted online for members at: http://www.SplitTrader.com

To view this email newsletter in HTML format with imbedded
charts and graphs, click here:

http://www.splittrader.com/htmlemail/052201_1.asp
================================================================

In This Newsletter:
===================

Market Commentary - Time Out
Definition of the Day
Tuesday's Split Announcements - SHFL, FHCC
Wednesday's Expirations
Plays - New - Updates - Drops
Wednesday's Play-of-the-Day - SDS

==================================================================


Market Commentary
=================

Time Out

Firestone and Ford cut the knot after 95 years.  The Turner -
Fonda divorce was finalized.  And the Dow and Nasdaq parted ways
as well, although let's hope the latter isn't permanent.  The word
on the Street seemed to be that the markets are recovering a bit
too far too fast.  Could it be time for a pullback?  That implies,
of course, that investors are comfortable enough with a return to
a long-term bullish trend to merely yawn this one off.

And it appears they were.  As the Dow was hitting its lows today,
buyers stepped in each time, including near the close.  The Nasdaq
also showed resilience in the face of the Dow weakness, as pockets
of strength attracted buyers to keep the market afloat.  This was
despite rumblings by some hard-core bears in the past week that
the V-shaped recovery could in fact turn into a W-shaped one.  As
the Dow snapped a four-session win streak, the Nasdaq (COMPX)
finished up for the sixth straight day and managed to eke out a
8.26 point gain, 0.36 percent, to 2,313.85.  The Dow (INDU) lost
80.68 points, or 0.71 percent, to 1,1257.24, however, no one was
very upset about it.  The sense is that the holiday weekend may
already be kicking in.  The S&P 500 (SPX.X) lost a mere 3.45
points, or 0.26 percent, to 1,1309.38.  On the NYSE, decliners
beat advancers 1612 to 1490, with 206 stocks unchanged.  Over on
the Nasdaq, advancers led 2163 to 1755, with 373 unchanged.
Volume was heavy on the NYSE, with more than 1 billion shares
traded, and at the Nasdaq, more than 2 billion shares traded
hands.

Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO +0.59) led the Nasdaq higher, up 2.58 percent
to 23.46.  Its archrival Juniper Networks (NASDAQ:JNPR +0.41)
gained 0.73 percent, to 56.94.  Other tech leaders included
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT +1.52), Ciena (NASDAQ:CIEN +3.51), and
Worldcom (NASDAQ:WCOM +0.91),

Among the broader sectors, there was weakness in drug, gold, basic
materials, consumer products, and oil drilling stocks.  This
contrasted with a strong financial sector that got its start
yesterday.  Strength was also seen within the tech sector.
American Express (NYSE:AXP +1.06) was up 2.36 percent, Citigroup
(NYSE:C +0.99) 1.92 percent, and J.P. Morgan (NYSE:JPM +0.59)
gained 1.19 percent.

Of the Dow stocks, Merck (NYSE:MRK -2.30), United Technologies
(NYSE:UTX -1.48), and General Electric (NYSE:GE -0.72) started the
day weak and continued weak into the close.  Also weak was Home
Depot (NYSE:HD -0.39) after a Goldman Sachs downgrade of Lowe's
(NYSE:LOW -1.50) based on valuation worries.

In general, there was a lack of broad-based buying today, but
there were pockets of strength, especially among the small-caps.
This group has been a source of confidence for the broader market.
To wit, the Russell 2000 (RUT.X) has gained 0.5 percent, while the
S&P Smallcap index (SML.X) rose 0.9 percent.

"You've Got A Bill!" - AOL Time Warner (NYSE:AOL -0.45) announced
that it would be raising its monthly "unlimited use" rate for the
first time in three years.  The stock has been up about 65 percent
from its recent lows, as investors expect an improvement in
revenues.  AOL lost 0.80 percent, to 56.15.

On the economic front, Philadelphia Fed President Anthony
Santomero said this morning that he doesn't expect the recent
downturn to affect the long-term expansion of the economy.  He
also said that the phenomenon of long-term Treasury yields rising
in an environment of Fed cuts meant the market was pricing in an
economic recovery.  He also said that the strong dollar seemed to
be reflecting a similar message.

Fed Bank of New York President William McDonough also chimed in
today by saying that the rapidly moving financial markets will
ensure that the recent Fed rate cuts will begin to take effect
sooner than they used to.  And this jives with statements over the
weekend from Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neil - recently called the
Bush administration's "weakest link" by one columnist - that we
have in fact dodged a recession.

Such expressed sentiments seemed to have stimulated at least the
financial sector today, which bet that lowered borrowing costs
just might stimulate consumer spending.  At any rate, the sector
didn't catch cold from the weak Dow.  Nor did the Nasdaq.  Could
this mean that the current overall rally has some staying power,
even into the Memorial Day weekend?  Could Firestone get back
together with Ford?  Could Jane reconcile with Ted?

For Tomorrow:

Some earnings reports after hours today may effect the markets on
Wednesday: Cabletron Systems (NYSE:CS +1.14), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU
-0.47), Kohls (NYSE:KSS +0.17), Medtronic (NYSE:MDT +0.63), Nvidia
(NASDAQ:NVDA +2.70), Novell (NASDAQ: +0.10), Saks (NYSE:SKS -
0.57), and VA Linux Systems (NASDAQ:LNUX +0.34).

Bruce Feldman
Staff Analyst


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Definition of the Day
=====================

Currency Hedging

This is a method of protecting against potential worldwide
currency fluctuations.

For the complete definition, please go to:
http://www.splittrader.com/glossary/viewglossary.asp?glossaryid=84



Tuesday's Split Announcements
=============================

Tuesday, May 22, 2001, During the Market

Shuffle Master deals out a 3-for-2 split and strong earnings

Gaming supply company, Shuffle Master Inc. (Nasdaq:SHFL) announced
a 3-for-2 stock split and record second quarter results this
afternoon. On the payable date of June 18, shareholders of record
as of June 8 will receive one additional common share for every
two shares held. Currently there are 11.5 million shares
outstanding, 10.2 million in the float, and 45 million authorized.

For the complete announcement, please go to:
http://www.splittrader.com/announcements/052201_1.asp

===

Tuesday, May 22, 2001 After the Market

First Health gives stockholders a shot of split fever

After the bell today, First Health Group Corp. (Nasdaq: FHCC)
announced that the board of directors approved a 2-for-1 split on
the company's common stock. The dividend will be payable on June
25, 2001 for all shareholders on record as of June 4, 2001. The
company currently has 48.8 million shares outstanding, 27.8
million shares in the float, and 155 million shares authorized for
issuance to the public.

For the complete announcement, please go to:
http://www.splittrader.com/announcements/052201_2.asp



=======================================
Wednesday's Expirations by Payable Date
=======================================

None


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=====================
SplitTrader.com Plays
=====================

The PLAY LEGEND:

SplitTrader.com Play Recommendations.

Updates are just that - updates on continuing plays
New plays are brand new for the newsletter.
Closing plays are plays that we feel have lost the advantage.

You will see:
Stock Symbol, Company Name, Closing Price, (change for the week)
Picked at date and Change since picked

Terms:
BoD = Board of Directors meeting
ADV = Average Daily Volume
dma = daily moving average

On the SplitTrader.com website we have very detailed profiles
for the stocks we play.  Please take the time to visit the site
and look up a stock's profile if you are interested in more
information.
================================================================


=========
NEW PLAYS
=========


NEW SPLIT RUN PLAYS 05/22/01
============================

None



NEW SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAYS 05/22/01
==================================

None



NEW MOMENTUM PLAYS 05/22/01
============================

SCH - The Charles Schwab Corp $21.18 +0.43 (+1.73)

The share price of this leading brokerage concern is starting to
rise for two principle reasons.  First, the recovery in the stock
market inevitably leads to more investor enthusiasm, which results
in more trading activity that ultimately results in more
commissions.  Secondly, Schwab has made aggressive efforts to
slash its workforce and cut its expenses, which should enable the
company to improve its profits later this year.  In the short
term, it looks like the momentum that the stock is seeing could
continue.  We especially like the rising volume (today's volume
was a solid 6.25 million, which was nearly 1 million more shares
than the average daily volume of 5.35 million).  The stock's
current cup and handle breakout may find resistance at a previous
spike high of $23.16.  Therefore, a move above today's high of
$21.60, accompanied by midday volume exceeding 2.75 million, could
result in a good lower risk entry point.  More aggressive traders
might consider entering as long as support at $21.10 holds up.
The Money Flow has been solid and points towards more gains for
the stock.  Another positive development is the fact that the MACD
is on the verge of issuing a buy signal.  We also like the RSI,
which has plenty of upside potential before indicating an
overbought condition.

Picked on May 2nd @ $21.18
Change since picked +0.00
Stop Loss @ $18.50

 



=======
UPDATES
=======


SPLIT RUN PLAY UPDATES 05/22/01
===============================

APPB - Applebee's $45.05 -0.28 (+0.95)

Applebee's pulled back a little on Tuesday, but not before
notching a new intraday high at $45.44.  This pullback is
certainly not enough to get us worried, but we will keep a close
eye on APPB's volume.  As the restaurateur has been marching
higher, volume has been tailing off.  We would like to see any
further moves above $46 accompanied by volume of at least 400,000
shares.  If APPB can get above $46, its MACD will issue a buy
signal and the next resistance level becomes $50.00.  While shares
of APPB may look extended, the stock still only trades at a P/E of
17.52, which turns out to be a discount to the restaurant sector's
29 P/E.  While we think that APPB has room to run, traders should
probably wait for a pullback to support at $44.20 before
initiating new positions.

Picked on May 15th @ $43.20
Change since picked +1.85
Stop Loss @ $40.50

 

===

PKI - PerkinElmer $75.11 +0.94 (+2.29)

PKI is moving right in step with this week's technology stock
rally.  The company's pending stock split, which has a scheduled
payable date of June 1st, is probably contributing to the stock's
solid move.  If PKI experiences a pullback, it will most likely
find support at $68.00 (the top of the old base).  On the other
hand, a continuation of this powerful move could eventually find
major resistance at the 200-DMA of $85.19.  If technology stocks
can extend their rally for a seventh day tomorrow, look for PKI to
offer momentum traders a potentially profitable opportunity to go
long if the stock can trade through today's high print of $76.25.
This potential trade would be more enticing if the move above
$76.25 is accompanied by midday volume exceeding 260,000 shares.
The Money Flow has been very good during this rally and the MACD
is positive.  As long as these technical indicators continue to go
in the right direction, it would be reasonable to assume that PKI
will continue to move higher.  That said, a drop below the $72.00
support should raise one's caution flag.

Picked on May 17th @ $70.12
Change since picked +4.99
Stop Loss @ $67.0

 

===

SDS - SunGard Data Systems $62.65 +0.61 (+1.74)

SunGard tacked on $0.61 during Tuesday's session after a Deutsche
Bank Alex Brown analyst initiated coverage of the computer service
provider with a "buy" rating.  Mark D'Annolfo of Duetsche Bank
believes that SunGard combines the predictability of a computer
services stock with the higher margins of a software company.  He
also likes the fact that SDS almost dominates its core businesses.
We couldn't agree more.  Given the ringing endorsement, we would
have thought that shares of SDS would have responded more
positively.  However, the stock only traded 440,000 shares, well
shy of its three-month average of 940,000 shares.  Going into the
later part of this week, we will be watching for volume to move
back towards 900,000 shares as SDS tests resistance at $63.
Traders interested in initiating new positions in SDS could
consider doing so on a break through $63 on volume that puts SDS
on pace to do 950,000 shares for the day.

Picked on May 16th @ $62.00
Change since picked +0.65
Stop Loss @ $58.40

 



SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY UPDATES 05/22/01
=====================================

ASD - American Standard Companies, Inc. $65.15 -0.10 (-0.30)

American Standard Companies, Inc. has been consolidating after
hitting an all-time high of $66.50 last week. On Tuesday, shares
of ASD fell to an intra-day low of $64.80 before bouncing back to
a close of $65.15 on volume of 468,000 shares. Despite the recent
weakness, ASD was able to close above its 5-dma, keeping the long-
term upward trend alive. Daily volume is picking up so ASD could
be able to challenge its all-time high on a positive volume surge.
In the meantime, support is the 5-dma at $64.92 with additional
support at $63.84, the 10-dma. Resistance has fallen to Monday's
intra-day high of $65.45 and then Friday's intra-day high of
$66.50. A bounce off of $64.92 or a move above $64.92 on midday
volume greater than 250,000 shares may be possible entry points.
Our stops are holding steady at $63.50.

Picked on May 6th @ $62.50
Change since picked +2.65
Stop Loss @ $63.50

 

===

AYE - Allegheny Energy, Inc. $54.40 -0.20 (+0.60)

Allegheny Energy, Inc. traded to an all-time high of $54.62 just
before Monday's closing bell. Unfortunately, the stock spent all
of Tuesday in negative territory. Shares of AYE hit an intra-day
low of $54.15 before closing at $54.40 on volume of 307,000
shares. The stock continues to trend higher with frequent tests of
the lower end of the channel. However, daily volume has been on
the light side so AYE may run into some selling pressure in the
near future. From a technical standpoint, support has moved up to
the 5-dma at $54.02 with stronger support at $53.38, the 10-dma.
Resistance is now at the all-time high of $54.62 and then possibly
$55 or $56. Look for entry points on a bounce off of $54.02 or a
breakout above $54.62 on volume of at least 225,000 shares by
noon. We are leaving our stops at $53 to protect gains.

Picked on April 29th @ $50.60
Change since picked +3.80
Stop Loss @ $53.00

 

===

BKH - Black Hills Corporation $57.85 -0.15 (+1.91)

The potential for a split announcement grows every day that this
western US utility increases its stock price.  Granted, the stock
slipped a bit today, but BKH started the week solidly by
establishing a new high of $58.00 yesterday and extending those
gains to $58.50 in today's trading before pulling back modestly.
Traders are driving up BKH not only because of the split
possibility (it has a BoD meeting next Wednesday), but also
because of the increasing demand for energy that is well
publicized by the California energy shortage.  Momentum traders
might jump on board again tomorrow if BKH can trade through $58.50
with midday volume exceeding 100,000 shares.  If the stock happens
to take a breather, look for it to possibly find support on its 5-
DMA of $56.09.  The technical indicators are a bit mixed.  The
MACD is positive and just recently issued a buy signal but the RSI
is indicating an overbought condition.  That said, traders might
continue to drive the stock higher if the pattern of new highs is
extended.

Picked on May 20th @ $55.94
Change since picked +1.91
Stop Loss @ $52.25

 

===

BMET - Biomet Inc. $44.93 -0.66 (+0.66)

Biomet, Inc. sold off on Tuesday after hitting an all-time high of
$45.64 early in the session. The stock dipped below the 5-dma to
an intra-day low of $44.20 on light volume of 979,000 shares. The
stock remains in a firm short-term upward trend but the daily
volume has been trending lower over the past 3 sessions. BMET may
need to consolidate its recent gains before it moves to new highs.
For now, support is the 5-dma at $44.60 with additional support at
$43.47, Friday's intra-day low. Resistance has moved up to
Tuesday's intra-day high of $45.64 and then $46. Traders should
look for a bounce off of $44.60 or a breakout above $45.64 on
midday volume greater then 900,000 shares before opening new
positions. We are keeping our stops at $43 to lock in gains.

Picked on May 3rd @ $42.16
Change since picked +2.77
Stop Loss @ $43.00

 

===

HRB - H&R Block $60.37 -1.34 (+1.91)

H & R Block finally took a breather after five straight up days in
a row.  You can't blame the stock for selling off after becoming
extremely overbought, but it didn't have to do so on 40% greater
volume than its average 550,000 shares.  The 770,000 shares traded
on the downside today is a little much for our liking.  Therefore,
HRB deserves closer monitoring as we move into the holiday
weekend.  We will be watching to see that Monday's low of $58.40
holds up under selling pressure and for HRB's MACD to remain
positive.  Right now, it appears as if the MACD is starting to
roll negative, but its nothing that a few up days can't cure.  As
far as new entries are concerned, it's not hard to see that the
tax preparer is extended.  We would wait for a pullback to the 5-
dma, which now rests at $59.34 before committing capital to HRB.
This move lower should ideally come on lighter volume of under
500,000 for the day.  Our stops remain at $57.50 to help lock in
gains.

Picked on April 18th @ $52.85
Change since picked +6.52
Stop Loss @ $57.50

 

===

KRI - Knight Ridder, Inc. $57.78 +1.08 (+1.77)

Knight Ridder, Inc. released its business revenue data for April
on Tuesday. Total advertising revenue was down 8.6% for the month
and down 4.2% for the year to date. However, the news had a mild
affect on the stock. Shares of KRI traded to an intra-day high of
$58.65 before pulling back to a close of $57.78 on heavy volume of
792,000 shares. The stock is breaking out after two months of
sideways trading so KRI may continue to move higher. Going
forward, KRI has support Monday's intra-day high of $56.75 with
stronger support at $56.33, the 5-dma. Resistance has moved up to
Tuesday's intra-day high of $58.65 and then the March 6th intra-
day low of $60.50. Consider entry points on a bounce off of $55.75
or a move above $58.65 on volume of at least 250,000 shares by
noon. We are leaving our stops at $54 to limit potential losses.

Picked on May 20th @ $56.01
Change since picked +1.77
Stop Loss @ $54.00

 

===

ITG - Investment Technology Group $54.50 -0.30 (+0.61)

We have one word for today's action in ITG, disappointing.  The
stock started the day well above pesky resistance at $55, but
could not hold onto its gains.  The early rise and subsequent
drift lower into the close left a bearish hammer formation on
ITG's chart.  This usually doesn't bode well for a stock in the
short term, so we will watch for support at $54 to hold up amid
more selling pressure.  We will also watch for volume to dry up on
any further moves lower.  An actual close above $55 is what ITG
desperately needs to keep its upward momentum going.  It has been
turned back by this resistance level five times in a row, so short
sellers may be starting to circle.  However, given the fact that
the AMEX Broker/Dealer Index held up today, we remain optimistic
that ITG will persevere.  Traders should wait for a close over $55
on volume of at least 300,000 shares traded before initiating new
positions.

Picked on May 16th @ $54.52
Change since picked -0.02
Stop Loss @ $51.40

 



MOMENTUM PLAY UPDATES 05/22/01
===============================

GTK - GTECH Holdings Corp $37.47 -0.07 (+0.86)

The momentum continues to the upside for this lottery equipment
and services leader.  GTK has exhibited some excellent relative
strength and continued its winning ways again today.  The stock
pulled back only $0.07 even though there was some profit taking
pressure seen across many sectors.  Additionally, GTK has been
able to establish new 52-week highs during both Monday's and
today's trading sessions.  Today's high print was $38.10.  It was
not terribly surprising that GTK was unable to close in positive
territory today.  We have pointed out in the last several updates
that GTK is extremely overbought according to its RSI.
Nevertheless, momentum traders may still be able to make a profit
if they go long tomorrow on the condition that GTK can trade
through $38.10, accompanied by first hour trading volume exceeding
75,000 shares.  Just be wary if GTK starts to pull back following
the establishment of a new high.  A repeat of today's action
tomorrow is very possible due to the overbought condition.  If GTK
starts to sell off in the early going, one should probably pay
attention to the 10-DMA of $36.10.  If this support is violated,
our stop at $35.50 could be quickly executed.

Picked on April 22nd @ $29.79
Change since picked +7.68
Stop Loss $35.50

 

===

LEA - Lear Corporation $37.00 -1.00 (-0.60)

Lear might face some turmoil in the near term since the Ford
(NYSE:F) recall might have traders turning sour on the auto
stocks.  That being said, LEA still looks technically strong
despite today's $1.00 sell off.  LEA's MACD almost issued a buy
signal on Monday and the gap formed on 5/17 is offering good
support at the $36.50 level.  We will note, however, that
resistance at $38 once again stymied LEA.  In fact, shares of LEA
hit $38 right at the open, never to return.  Traders interested in
opening new positions in the automotive parts supplier could
either wait for a pullback to support at $36.56 or more aggressive
momentum traders could wait to see if LEA can conquer the $38
level on volume of over 450,000 shares before pulling the trigger.
Our stops remain at $35.00 to protect against a reversal.

Picked on April 24th @ $36.20
Change since picked +0.80
Stop Loss @ $35.00

 



=====
DROPS
=====


SPLIT RUN PLAY DROPS 05/22/01
=============================

None



SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY DROPS 05/22/01
===================================

TTC - Toro Company $44.70 -1.30 (-1.15)

TTC dropped through the bottom of its base and eventually found
support just slightly below its 50-DMA of $44.91.  Nevertheless,
the drop was just enough to trigger our stop at $44.88.  TTC will
be reporting earnings tomorrow morning; therefore we would have
been exiting this play at the close regardless of the intraday
stop.

Picked April 29th @ $46.25
Profit/Loss -1.37 (3%) (Stopped Tuesday @ $44.88)
Best Profit +1.75 (4%)

 



MOMENTUM PLAY DROPS 05/22/01
=============================

DCI - Donaldson Company $31.63 +0.01 (+0.86)

We saw only a modest advance during the short duration of this
play.  Obviously, this result is better than the alternative.  Our
exit from this play was precipitated by the company's earnings
announcement after today's close.  For the record, DCI reported
profits of $0.39 a share, which was a penny better than last
year's results for the same quarter.  The company also said that
it is instituting a hiring freeze in order to combat rising costs
during these challenging times in the global economy.

Picked on May 17th @ $30.04
Profit/Loss +1.59 (5%) (Stopped Tuesday @ $31.63, earnings)
Best Profit +1.76 (6%)

 



WEDNESDAY'S PLAY-OF-THE-DAY
===========================

Tuesday, May 22, 2001
=============================

SDS - SunGard Data Systems $62.65 +0.61 (+1.74)

Tuesday's Comment:

SunGard tacked on $0.61 during Tuesday's session after a Deutsche
Bank Alex Brown analyst initiated coverage of the computer
service provider with a "buy" rating.  Mark D'Annolfo of Duetsche
Bank believes that SunGard combines the predictability of a
computer services stock with the higher margins of a software
company.  He also likes the fact that SDS almost dominates its
core businesses.  We couldn't agree more.  Given the ringing
endorsement, we would have thought that shares of SDS would have
responded more positively.  However, the stock only traded
440,000 shares, well shy of its three-month average of 940,000
shares.  Going into the later part of this week, we will be
watching for volume to move back towards 900,000 shares as SDS
tests resistance at $63.  Traders interested in initiating new
positions in SDS could consider doing so on a break through $63
on volume that puts SDS on pace to do 950,000 shares for the day.

Picked on May 16th @ $62.00
Change since picked +0.65
Stop Loss @ $58.40

 


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