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Email Version, Section 2, Sunday 05/06/2001
The SplitTrader.com                      Sunday 05/06/2001 2 of 2
Copyright 2001, All rights reserved.
Redistribution in any form is strictly prohibited.

 - Your World Leader for Trading Stock Splits on the Internet -

Posted online for members at: http://www.SplitTrader.com

To view this email newsletter in HTML format with imbedded
charts and graphs, click here:

http://www.splittrader.com/htmlemail/050601_2.asp
=================================================================

In This Candidate Newsletter:
=============================

Watch List
Plays - New - Updates - Drops
Monday's Candidate Play-of-the-Day -BMET
Weekly Play Results (04/30 - 05/04)

=============================





==========
Watch List
==========

The following stocks are on our radar screen.  We are watching
them for further developments before we add them to our Current
Play list.


Splits to Watch

PKI - PerkinElmer, Inc. $61.95 -0.93

WHY WE LIKE IT:  This global technology company is due to split
its shares on 6/4/01.  We like the way the stock has traced a cup
and handle formation over the past two months.  The cup is a
little steep for our liking, but as long as PKI continues to base
around the $64 level for a few more days, we think it has good
potential.  If it does break out of this base, it will not
encounter any significant resistance until the $80-level.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  If PKI can close above $67 on volume of
at least 700,000 shares then we will move the Watch List stock
over to our Current Play list in a heartbeat.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE:  Our new Watch List stock got off to a slow
start on Friday, as it succumbed to early selling pressure and
failed to rally back to breakeven.  We are encouraged that it
will get some legs soon, due to a positive MACD and also due to
the bullish 10-dma crossing up through the 50-dma.  However,
should PKI decide to rollover, we will watch the tech company
only as long as it can keep closing over support at $58.85.

 

===

STT - State Street Corporation $107.01 +2.10

WHY WE LIKE IT:  Since February 16th, STT has been carving out an
inverse head and shoulders formation.  It is now working on
completion of its right shoulder.  As the fourth interest rate
cut starts to take a hold on the bank sector (BIX.X), we believe
STT has a good chance of breaking its neckline, now located at
$108.25.  Volume has been accelerating on any moves higher in STT
and has been drying up as the stock moves sideways to lower.
This tells us that sellers have given up the ship and that buyers
are now at the wheel.  STT is due to split 2:1 on May 31st.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  A break and close above STT's neckline
at $108.25 on volume of at least 1 million shares would earn the
bank stock a spot on our Current Play list.  Keep in mind that
the neckline is slightly up sloping, so as a result, we will be
updating the trigger price from time to time as it moves higher.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE:  STT went a long way to finding itself on our
Current Play list on Friday.  Although we are not quite there
yet, STT has been performing as we had hoped.  Volume has been
increasing when the stock moves higher and has tailed off when
the stock pulls back.  We are now just $1.25 away from picking up
STT, so we wouldn't be surprised to see STT promoted next week.
Should STT roll over, though, we will watch it roll only as far
as its 50-dma at $96.66.

 


Candidates to Watch

KMI - Kinder Morgan $56.88 +0.32

WHY WE LIKE IT:  Going all the way back to January of last year,
KMI has been on a steady up trend.  However, for the past three
months, as the energy sector has continued to surge, KMI has been
putting in a sideways base formation.  We view this as positive
divergence that is due to catch up with KMI soon.  As investors
continue to snatch up energy stocks, they will start to turn to
the ones that are undervalued, compared to the ones that have
already run higher.  This is why we feel KMI's time is due.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  A break and close above $60 on volume
of at least 700,000 shares will earn KMI a spot on our Current
Play list.  Volume is important here, since $60 has acted as
resistance twice in the last two months.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE:  The energy group powered up again after a few
days of rolling sell-offs.  KMI found support at $56.44 but also
encountered resistance at $57 during Friday's session.  As noted
in Thursday's update, KMI's MACD has rolled over and OBV is
heading lower.  With that said, should KMI continue to fall, we
will watch it fall only as far as its 50-dma, now located at
$55.46.

 

===

LEN - Lennar Corporation  $44.70 +1.70

WHY WE LIKE IT:  Homebuilders have regained momentum to the
upside after the Fed rate cut last week and after a few companies
in the group reported better than expected earnings recently (LEN
is due to report on 6/20/01).  In addition, we like the looks of
LEN's chart.  The stock has formed a base on base formation over
the last four months and looks poised to breakout to the upside.
According to the depth of the most recent base formation, our
next target for LEN is the $52 level.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  A break and close above $45 on volume
of at least 800,000 shares would earn LEN a spot on our Current
Play list.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE:  LEN built upon Thursday's turnaround and put
together a sound rally on Friday.  The $1.70 gain was achieved on
strong volume of 880,000 shares.  The homebuilders in general
appear to welcoming the increased odds of a 50-bps interest rate
cut, given Friday's weak jobs number.  Should LEN lose momentum,
we will watch the homebuilder only as long as it can continue
closing above $40.

 

===

VAR - Varian Medical Systems, Inc. $64.60 -1.31

WHY WE LIKE IT: Varian has been a great momentum stock.  It has
been forming bases as it moves higher, which has made for some
powerful bursts to the upside.  VAR has just recently formed a
flag pattern, which is another basing pattern that can lead to
nice moves to the upside.  VAR will probably have a short life on
our Watch List as it is at a make or break point within its chart
formation.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  We are looking for VAR to close above
$70 on volume of at least 200,000 shares before we move the
medical equipment supplier to our Current Play list.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE:  Like we said, VAR might have a short life on
our Watch List.  On Friday, VAR lost support at $65 and thus
earned the big boot from the Watch List.  VAR will bid farewell
to VAR on Monday.

 


Momentum Stocks to Watch

DCI - Donaldson Company, Inc.  $29.15 +0.73

WHY WE LIKE IT:  Donaldson is another early cycle company that
benefits from lower borrowing rates.  As the economy starts to
gear up, the filters that Donaldson manufactures get more use.
This is because their filters are used in heavy machinery,
semiconductor manufacturing, exhaust systems and gas turbines.
Even without the help of the recent rate cut, the cyclicals have
been shining on hopes of an economic turnaround.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  If DCI can claw its way above its
previous high of $29.81 on volume of at least 90,000 shares, we
will clear a spot for the filter firm on our Current Play list.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE: Make it three in a row for the filter folks.
DCI now sits just $0.66 away from being promoted to the Current
Play list.  We will look for an encore to Friday's nice move when
DCI commences trading next week.  We will also watch for volume
to come in near Friday's level of 91,000 shares as we approach
our trigger price of $29.81.

 

===

HD - Home Depot $49.59 +1.08

WHY WE LIKE IT:  It took a while, but HD has finally broken
through its long term down trend line.  In a little less than a
month the stock has added about 20%, but has recently stalled to
digest its gains.  We like how the S&P Retail Index has perked up
and also like the fact that HD is consolidating above both its 50
and 200-dmas.  HD's 10-dma has been providing support for the
stock since its breakout day on 4/18.  With Lowe's breaking out
to new highs, we think Home Depot is not far behind in attracting
investors' capital.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  If HD can close over $50 on volume of
at least 7 million shares, then we will improve our Current Play
list with the home improvement company.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE: HD shot higher on Friday after spending the last
two trading sessions treading water.  Traders are obviously
thinking that if rates go down more, consumers will whip out the
plastic to do some home improvements.  Looking at the chart, HD
is now well above its long term down trend line and looks poised
to take out our trigger point at $50 soon.  If we are wrong,
though, will keep HD around only as long as it can remain above
its 200-dma at $46.06.

 





=====================
SplitTrader.com Plays
=====================

The PLAY LEGEND:

SplitTrader.com Candidate Play Recommendations.

Candidate Play-of-the-Day is our number one candidate
recommendation for the following trading day.
Updates are just that - updates on continuing plays
New plays are brand new for the newsletter.
Drops are closing plays that we feel have lost the advantage.

You will see:
Stock Symbol, Company Name, Closing Price, (change for the week)
Picked at date and Change since picked

Terms:
BoD = Board of Directors meeting
ADV = Average Daily Volume
dma = daily moving average

At the SplitTrader.com website, we have comprehensive profiles
for each stock that we are playing or have played in the past, as
well as hundreds of others. Please take the time to visit the site
to view the profile of the stock(s) you wish to learn more about.
==================================================================

=========
NEW PLAYS
=========


NEW SPLIT RUN PLAYS 05/06/01
============================

XTO - Cross Timbers Oil Co. $24.83 (-3.18)

Cross Timbers is a land based oil and natural gas exploration,
drilling and production company that primarily conducts its
business in the oil fields of Texas and Oklahoma.  The stock had
a very interesting past week.  On Wednesday, XTO reported record
first quarter results of $1.14 a share, which was $0.21 above
consensus estimates.  More importantly, the company guided
analysts higher for the second quarter as well as for the rest of
the fiscal year.  However, all of this good news could not keep
the stock from succumbing to Wednesday's industry wide sell
brought about by a government report confirming sizable increases
in petroleum inventories.  XTO found some good support at $23.63
during the sell off (please note that our initial stop of $23.50
is just below this support).  The good news is that XTO started
coming back on Thursday.  The bounce may be due in part by the
fact that XTO is planning to split its shares 3:2 on June 5th.
Traders may want to pick up XTO if it opens Monday near where it
closed on Friday.  One might want to be cautious if XTO finds
stiff resistance at the 50-DMA of $26.34.  If XTO can close above
the 50-DMA it may encounter resistance again at $28.75.

Picked May 6th @ $24.83
Change since picked +0.00
Stop Loss @ $23.50

 



NEW SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAYS 05/06/01
==================================

ASD - American Standard Companies, Inc. $62.50 (+2.00)

American Standard Companies is a global manufacturer of air
conditioning systems, bathroom and kitchen fixtures, and vehicle
control systems for trucks, buses, trailers and utility vehicles.
Shares of ASD have been hitting new highs over the past four
months following a major breakout from the $35-$50 range in
January. The stock closed at an all-time high on Friday and we
believe that ASD could continue to move higher. We are also
looking for a split announcement with the July earnings report or
out of the next BoD meeting. The company has enough shares for a
split with 200 million shares authorized and 71 million shares
outstanding. Going forward, ASD has support at Thursday's intra-
day high of $61.75 with stronger support at $60.33, the 10-dma.
Resistance was taken out on Friday so new resistance may show up
at $63 or $65. Look for a bounce off of $61.75 or a breakout
above $63 on midday volume of at least 250,000 shares before
starting new plays. We plan to place stops at $58.50 to limit
potential losses.

Picked on May 6th @ $62.50
Change since picked +2.00
Stop Loss @ $58.50

 



NEW MOMENTUM PLAYS 05/06/01
============================

None



=======
UPDATES
=======


SPLIT RUN PLAY UPDATES 05/06/01
===============================

SOTR - SouthTrust Corporation $46.31 (-2.29)

SouthTrust Corporation spent the entire week consolidating after
hitting an all-time during Monday's session. On Friday, the
company announced that it agreed to buy CENIT Bancorp Inc. (CNIT)
for approximately $117 million in stock. Shares of SOTR pulled
back from an intra-day high of $46.84 to close at $46.31
following the news. Volume was on the light side with just
688,000 shares changing hands. Volume has been trending lower
over the past three days and the acquisition could put a drag on
the stock. SOTR may continue to trade in the $44-$47 until the
volume returns. However, the 2:1 split, payable on May 11th, may
be the catalyst to push the stock higher. In the meantime,
support is the 20-dma at $46.06 with additional support at
$45.45, the April 23rd intra-day low. Resistance is Friday's
intra-day high of $46.95 and then the April 26th intra-day high
of $48. Look for entry points on a bounce off of $46.06 or a move
above $46.95 on volume greater than 500,000 shares by noon. We
are keeping our stops at $44 to limit potential losses.

Picked on April 19th @ $46.96
Change since picked -0.65
Stop Loss @ $44.00

 



SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY UPDATES 05/06/01
=====================================

AYE - Allegheny Energy, Inc. $51.00 (+0.40)

Allegheny Energy, Inc. regained some of its momentum on Friday,
following a round of profit taking in the energy sector. Shares
of AYE closed the session at an intra-day high of $51.00 on
volume of 411,000 shares. The stock has been able to hold its 10-
dma over the last three sessions on declining volume, so AYE may
have found a short-term bottom just below the $50 mark. The
company has scheduled its Annual Meeting for May 10th and we are
looking for a split announcement out of the meeting. The company
currently has enough shares for a 3:2 split, with 260 million
shares outstanding and 123 million shares issued. From a
technical standpoint, support has moved up to Thursday's intra-
day high of $50.25 with stronger support at $49.68, the 10-dma.
Resistance is now at Wednesday's intra-day high of $51.20 and
then the all-time high of $51.75. A bounce off $50.25 or a move
above $51.20 on midday volume of at least 300,000 shares may be
possible entry points. We are leaving our stops at $47 as
downside protection.

Picked on April 29th @ $50.60
Change since picked +0.40
Stop Loss @ $47.00

 

===

BMET - Biomet Inc. $42.55 (+0.86)

Biomet, Inc opened in negative territory on Friday, thanks to a
weak employment report. However, the stock moved quickly off its
lows along with the AMEX Biotech Index (BTK.X). Shares of BMET
ended the session at $42.55 on volume of 1.93 million shares. The
stock is giving a mixed signal, with three consecutive lower lows
within a long-term upward trend.  Therefore, BMET may spend some
time consolidating in the $41-$44 range. The company is expected
to announce earnings on June 17th and we are looking for a split
announcement with the release or with the next BoD meeting,
expected on June 29th. BMET has enough shares for a split, with
500 million shares authorized and 179 million shares out
standing, and the stock is within historic split range. The Board
set a 3:2 split last June when the stock was trading in the $30-
$40 range. For now, support is the 10-dma at $41.42 with
additional support at $40.35, the April 27th intra-day low.
Resistance has fallen to Friday's intra-day high of $43 and then
the all-time high of $43.68. Traders may consider starting new
plays on a bounce off of $41.42 or a move above $43 on volume
greater than 900,000 shares by noon. Our stops remain at $39.50.

Picked on May 3rd @ $42.16
Change since picked +0.39
Stop Loss @ $39.50

 

===

HRB - H&R Block $53.88 (-1.22)

On Thursday, H&R Block said it expected 2001 earnings to exceed
expectations on the strength of its U.S. tax and mortgage
businesses, even as it cut jobs.  The firm said H&R Block
Financial Advisors eliminated about five percent of its total
work force, which will result in a ``modest'' fourth-quarter
charge.  On Friday, traders obviously woke up to the fact that
this Kansas City based financial service company is going to do
well this year, even if the economy is slowing.  Shares reversed
their three-day down trend and rose $0.38 on strong volume of
940,000 shares.  We will be watching for volume to continue on
the high side as the stock attempts to regain momentum to the
upside.  Strong volume means daily volume of over 700,000 shares.
Looking at the chart, we can see that the MACD has gone negative.
However, we also notice that on Thursday, HRB bounced off the top
of its previous base at $52.50.  This is a good sign that buyers
are stepping up and ready to take HRB higher.  Possible entry
points could present themselves on a bounce off Thursday's
closing price of $53.00, or a break through the 5-dma at $53.82
on volume of at least 300,000 by noon.

Picked on April 18th @ $52.85
Change since picked +0.53
Stop Loss @ $49.25

 

===

TTC - Toro Company $46.71 (+0.46)

TTC made some progress last week and could be on the verge of a
nice breakout.  There are a couple of compelling reasons why
investors have been buying shares of this lawn and gardening
equipment leader.  TTC is obviously a seasonal play as we head
into the warmer months.  In addition, the stock is trading at a
P/E of only 13.35, even though the company is expected to post
year-end profits of $3.92/share in October.  Technically
speaking, TTC has been consolidating its February breakout by
trading between the all-time high of $47.65 and the support
offered by a rising 50-DMA, which is now located at $44.38.  One
possible entry point may present itself if TTC can move above
Friday's high of $46.95.  If TTC gaps up and finds resistance at
the all-time high of $47.65 on Monday's open, it may pullback a
bit in the early going, resulting in a better entry price.  TTC
could have a strong week if it can close in new high ground on
volume exceeding 100,000 shares.  The MACD and the Money Flow are
two technical indicators that are suggesting that TTC may move
higher over the next few days.  We additionally are encouraged by
the fact that the RSI is at a level that implies that TTC has
room to mow before issuing an overbought signal.

Picked April 29th @ $46.25
Change since picked +0.46
Stop Loss @ $43.50

 



MOMENTUM PLAY UPDATES 05/06/01
===============================

GTK - GTECH Holdings Corp $34.00 (+1.76)

Governments around the world are catching onto the fact that
state sanctioned lotteries can fill coffers without raising
taxes.  GTECH is the leader in providing the services and
equipment necessary to successfully run these lotteries and has
thereby benefited from the strong demand for its products.
Analysts expect GTECH to increase it profits by $0.67 a share, or
32% this fiscal year.  GTECH currently has a reasonable P/E of
27.20, which compares favorably to its growth potential going
forward into next year.  GTECH finished last week hovering just
below resistance established at the all-time high of $34.30.
Momentum traders may want to jump on board if GTK can breach
$34.40, accompanied by midday volume of at least 150,000 shares.
If GTK gaps up to $36.00 or higher on the open, a subsequent
pullback may provide a better entry price.  One note of caution,
the RSI is currently indicating a very overbought condition.
This fact does not mean that GTK cannot climb higher, but it does
suggest that the stock may be poised for a pullback soon.  Our
stops remain at $32.00.

Picked on April 20th @ $29.79
Change since picked +4.21
Stop Loss $32.00

 

===

LEA - Lear Corporation $38.50 (+2.52)

Lear added $2.10 on strong volume of 575,000 shares during
Friday's session and more importantly, managed to breakout of its
pennant formation.  Early in the week Lear was named supplier of
the year by General Motors (NYSE:GM) and on Thursday, was
highlighted on the front page of Investors Business Daily.  The
IBD article pointed out that LEA is a great growth story in a
narrow industry with few competitors.  The article also points
out that even though the U.S. auto industry may be slowing, the
demand for interior auto parts (Lear's specialty) is still
cooking along.  This is due to the auto industry trend towards
adding more bells and whistles as well as safety features to the
interior spaces of American cars and trucks.  No wonder buying
interest has picked up again.  Looking at the chart, no real
resistance comes in until the psychological $40-level and then
the $50-level.  Since Lear closed at the highs of Friday's
session, traders might want to wait for a pullback to the $37.75-
$38.00 range before initiating new positions.  Chasing the stock
much beyond $39.50 would expose a trader to the risk of an 8%
retracement back to Lear's base at around $36.60 so be patient if
the stock decides to gap higher.

Picked on April 24th @ $36.20
Change since picked +2.30
Stop Loss @ $33.88

 

===

WSM - Williams Sonoma $32.51 (+3.21)

After erasing three days of gains in the first 30 minutes of
trading on Friday, WSM moved steadily higher for the rest of the
session, to close up $0.65 on good volume of 690,000 shares.
This is a good sign that buyers are coming in on the dips.  In
addition, the 50-dma is just about to cross up through the 200-
dma, which is usually a very bullish sign.  We also like the fact
that WSM's technical indicators are firing on all cylinders.  The
OBV is almost at yearly highs and the MACD is still decidedly
positive.  The RSI and stochastic, however, are both issuing an
overbought condition, but then again, they have been saying this
for a few weeks and WSM keeps on adding to its gains.  A slight
pullback might be in the cards early on next week, but this might
give traders a chance to add to positions.  We are looking for
additional entry points on a pullback to the 5-dma at $31.44.
Our stops remain at $27.75, but may be raised soon if WSM keeps
on its northerly course.

Picked on May 1st @ $31.10
Change since picked +1.41
Stop Loss @ $27.75

 



=====
DROPS
=====


SPLIT RUN PLAY DROPS 05/06/01
=============================

None



SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY DROPS 05/06/01
===================================

ACS - Affiliated Computer Services $71.89 (+0.50)

ACS dropped just enough in the early going on Friday to execute
our trailing stop.  It is important to note that the decline was
accompanied by light volume of only 361,500 shares.  Perhaps the
early weakness was due to the new coverage of the stock by SG
Cowen.  The research firm began coverage on ACS with a "Neutral"
rating, which was less than a ringing endorsement.  We might be
interested in taking another look at ACS if it can find support
at its 20-DMA of $68.31.

Picked on April 26th @ $69.34
Profit/Loss +1.66 (2%) (Stopped Friday @ $71.00)
Best Profit +3.10 (4%)

 

===

JEC - Jacob's Engineering $66.34 (+0.07)

Sometimes stocks can "fake out" traders by falling below support
and rebounding immediately.  That is exactly what happened to JEC
in the early going on Friday, as the April jobs report had the
market running scared at the open.  Our trailing stop was
triggered amidst the wave of early morning selling.  JEC
subsequently rebounded to end the day positive, but hey, we can
never complain about a profitable trade.

Picked on April 24th @ $62.00
Profit/Loss +2.00 (3%) (Stopped Friday @ $64.00)
Best Profit +4.95 (8%)

 



MOMENTUM PLAY DROPS 05/06/01
=============================

None



PLAY-OF-THE-DAY
===============

Sunday, May 6, 2001
=============================

BMET - Biomet Inc. $42.55 (+0.86)

Sunday's Comment:

Biomet, Inc opened in negative territory on Friday, thanks to a
weak employment report. However, the stock moved quickly off its
lows along with the AMEX Biotech Index (BTK.X). Shares of BMET
ended the session at $42.55 on volume of 1.93 million shares. The
stock is giving a mixed signal, with three consecutive lower lows
within a long-term upward trend.  Therefore, BMET may spend some
time consolidating in the $41-$44 range. The company is expected
to announce earnings on June 17th and we are looking for a split
announcement with the release or with the next BoD meeting,
expected on June 29th. BMET has enough shares for a split, with
500 million shares authorized and 179 million shares out
standing, and the stock is within historic split range. The Board
set a 3:2 split last June when the stock was trading in the $30-
$40 range. For now, support is the 10-dma at $41.42 with
additional support at $40.35, the April 27th intra-day low.
Resistance has fallen to Friday's intra-day high of $43 and then
the all-time high of $43.68. Traders may consider starting new
plays on a bounce off of $41.42 or a move above $43 on volume
greater than 900,000 shares by noon. Our stops remain at $39.50.

Picked on May 3rd @ $42.16
Change since picked +0.39
Stop Loss @ $39.50

 



================================================================
Weekly Play Results (04/30 - 05/04)
================================================================

Plays   Beginning Price    Ending Price    Gain/Loss    % Change
-----   ---------------    ------------    ---------    --------
ACS         $71.39            $71.00        -$0.39        -0.55%
AYE         $50.60            $51.00         $0.40         0.79%
BMET        $42.16            $42.55         $0.39         0.93%
GTK         $32.24            $34.00         $1.76         5.46%
HRB         $54.60            $53.38        -$1.22        -2.23%
HSIC        $38.04            $35.00        -$3.04        -7.99%
JEC         $66.27            $64.00        -$2.27        -3.43%
LEA         $35.98            $38.50         $2.52         7.00%
MKC         $41.04            $38.75        -$2.29        -5.58%
SOTR        $48.60            $46.31        -$2.29        -4.71%
TTC         $46.25            $46.71         $0.46         0.99%
WSM         $31.10            $32.51         $1.41         4.53%





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