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Email Version, Section 2, Sunday 04/08/2001
The SplitTrader.com                      Sunday 04/08/2001 2 of 2
Copyright 2001, All rights reserved.
Redistribution in any form is strictly prohibited.

 - Your World Leader for Trading Stock Splits on the Internet -

Posted online for members at: http://www.SplitTrader.com

To view this email newsletter in HTML format with imbedded
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http://www.splittrader.com/htmlemail/040801_2.asp
=================================================================

In This Candidate Newsletter:
=============================

Watch List
Plays - New - Updates - Drops
Monday's Play-of-the-Day -SLXP
Weekly Play Results (04/02 - 04/06)

=============================


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==========
Watch List
==========

The following stocks are on our radar screen.  We are watching
them for further developments before we add them to our Current
Play list.


- SPLIT RUN CANDIDATES TO WATCH -

BAX - Baxter International Inc.  $89.60 -4.40

WHY WE LIKE IT: Baxter is due to split its shares 2:1 on 5/31/01.
We believe that due to the overall strength in the energy sector,
a split run could be in order for BAX.  Looking at the chart, BAX
has run into resistance at the $95 level twice before.  The chart
could be either setting us up for a bullish triple bottom or a
bearish double top.  A bounce off Baxter's 50-dma is probably
what the stock needs to do before going higher.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  A close above $95 on volume of at least
1.5 million shares will earn BAX a spot on our Current Play list.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE: BAX sold off big time on Friday, coming within
$2.00 of triggering our exit point at the 100-dma of $87.50.  A
hold up of a European patent could definitely been the impetus
behind the move lower.  However, BAX has been known to rebound
from adversity, so we will hold on and see what next week brings
for our Watch List stock.

 

- SPLIT CANDIDATES TO WATCH -

BJ - BJ's Wholesale Club  $46.77 -0.56

WHY WE LIKE IT:  BJ has been forming a four-point wide base for
the last two months.  It has found good support at the $44 level
and its 50-dma.  The stock broke out of a 10-point wide base in
early January and proceeded to rocket over 12% in a span of three
weeks.  With the stock taking a breather lately, we believe its
next stop could be the $55 level.  Fundamentally speaking, BJ
seems to benefit whether the economy is strong or not, due to the
fact that it offers discounted, quality goods.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  We would like to see BJ close above
resistance of $48.35 on volume of at least 700,000 shares traded
before moving the discount retailer to our Current Play list.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE: BJ formed a bullish hammer on Friday, as the
stock opened at its high, dropped, then came back to close in the
upper half of its daily range.  BJ found support at its 40-dma,
but the MACD has rolled negative.  The good news is that the
volume on Friday's sell off was just 1.5 million shares or half
of normal volume.  We will keep the faith that BJ will turn
around as long as it can continue closing above $44, the bottom
of its base formation.

 

===

HRB - H&R Block, Inc. $49.78 -0.72

WHY WE LIKE IT:  It's that time of year again and as everyone
starts to think taxes, money has a way of flowing into tax
services stocks.  Making this potential play even tastier is the
fact that HRB recently reaffirmed its year 2001 earnings (indeed
rare in these troubled times) and stated that revenues for
January and February are up 11.6% over last year.  The chart is
telling us the same rosy story.  HRB gapped higher on 2/28/01,
proceeded to make a new high, then came back to fill its gap on
lower volume.  This is very healthy price action.  In addition,
the stock found support at its 40-dma and looks like it is ready
to gear up for another run higher.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  We would like to see HRB close above
its old yearly high of $52.39 on volume of at least 550,000
shares before we add the tax service provider to our Current Play
list.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE:  HRB took a breather on Friday along with the
rest of the market.  After a nice move higher on Thursday, HRB
fell back on lower volume of only 300,000 shares traded, which is
what we like to see.  We will watch to see if any advances in HRB
next week are accompanied by higher volume, since we need more
conviction as we near our trigger price of $52.39.  The MACD
still looks like it wants to roll positive and OBV is starting to
tick higher again.

 

- MOMENTUM STOCKS TO WATCH-

BLL - Ball Corporation  $46.27 -0.95

WHY WE LIKE IT:  While the market has been selling off on a
regular basis, Ball has been slowly but surely trending higher.
This tells us that buyers are stepping in despite the market
"noise".  In addition, Ball resides in the aerospace arena and
has been awarded additional long term contracts that should serve
to stabilize earnings going forward.  The stock's RSI is also
well above 50, which again tells us that when the market turns,
BLL should rocket.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  We need to see Ball bounce and hold
above $48 on trading volume of at least 180,000 shares before we
will add the aerospace stock to our Current Play list.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE:  Our new Watch List stock had the disadvantage
of being added to the list on a very down day in the markets.
Even so, BLL held up fairly well and continued to show amazing
relative strength.  The stock briefly broke down through its 10-
dma, but managed to crawl back to close above its 5-dma for the
thrid day in a row.  BLL's MACD has turned positive and one more
strong move higher could put Ball right onto our Current Play
list.  That being said, should Ball deflate, we will continue to
watch it only as long as it can keep closing above support at
$44.12.

 

===

GCO - Genesco, Inc.  $24.72 -0.18

WHY WE LIKE IT:  The retailer and wholesaler of branded footware
has been on a nice uptrend.  The stock has been making higher
highs and higher lows for the past two months.  In addition,
GCO's MACD has gone positive and the stock's lower trendline is
now bolstering support at the 50-dma.  GCO is just coming off
overbought levels and looks poised to do another leg higher in
the coming week.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  We need to see Genesco close above $28
on volume of at least 290,000 shares before we will add the stock
to our Current Play list.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE: GCO is now just $0.62 away from being launched
from the Watch List.  Today marked the fifth straight down day in
a row for GCO.  The MACD is now decidedly negative and OBV has
dropped off.  The only indicator that is offering some ray of
hope is the stochastic, which not surprisingly is saying that GCO
is due for an oversold bounce.

 

===

SCIO - Scios, Inc.  $20.56 +0.38

WHY WE LIKE IT:  Although the Biotech Index (BTK.X) has been
under pressure since last November, our new Watch List stock,
SCIO has been steadily rising.  Along with this display of
superior relative strength, SCIO has built a nice four-month base
pattern and looks poised to challenge resistance yet again.
Since 2/23 the stock has been trending higher on rising volume
and has broken through its 50-dma.
POTENTIAL TRIGGER EVENT:  We need to see SCIO close above $24 on
volume of at least 550,000 shares before we will clear a spot on
our Current Play list for this bio-pharmaceutical company.
SUNDAY'S UPDATE:  SCIO regained some ground on Friday, but
couldn't hold onto the bulk of its gains as it slid back into the
close.  Should SCIO weaken any further, we will watch it slide
only as far as its 20-dma at $20.28, meaning SCIO has only a
$0.28 cushion to work with at this point.

 


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=====================
SplitTrader.com Plays
=====================

The PLAY LEGEND:

SplitTrader.com Candidate Play Recommendations.

Candidate Play-of-the-Day is our number one candidate
recommendation for the following trading day.
Updates are just that - updates on continuing plays
New plays are brand new for the newsletter.
Drops are closing plays that we feel have lost the advantage.

You will see:
Stock Symbol, Company Name, Closing Price, (change for the week)
Picked at date and Change since picked

Terms:
BoD = Board of Directors meeting
ADV = Average Daily Volume
dma = daily moving average

At the SplitTrader.com website, we have comprehensive profiles
for each stock that we are playing or have played in the past, as
well as hundreds of others. Please take the time to visit the site
to view the profile of the stock(s) you wish to learn more about.
=================================================================

=========
NEW PLAYS
=========


NEW SPLIT RUN PLAYS 04/08/01
============================

BJS - BJ Services Company $71.75 (+0.55)

BJ Services (BJS) is a principal supplier of pressure pumping and
oilfield services to the petroleum industry worldwide. Demand for
the company's services is dependent upon the number of oil and
natural gas wells being drilled, the depth and drilling
conditions of such wells, and the level of activity worldwide.
Currently, the company is benefiting from strong activity in the
North American oilfield market. But, aside from BJS's solid
fundamentals, the chart may have just completed a "V" bottom
formation. This has been a familiar pattern over the last few
months, as quick rallies have unfolded off such reversals.
What's more, the company announced a 2:1 stock split on March
22nd which could help to generate extra buying ahead of the record
date of May 17th. As for the stock, BJS shares, after coming down
from highs just last week, may have already formed a near-term
bottom. The technical indicators certainly suggest this, with the
MACD on the verge of a crossover and the stochastic signaling a
mid-week buy signal. Bearing this in mind, should shares trend
higher in the upcoming week, we'll look for initial resistance to
occur at $72.75, then the 20-dma of $73.15, followed by a stiffer
challenge at the 50-dma of $77.16.  Support will come at the $70
mark. Look to time entries when BJS shares bounce off support or
break above the 20-dma on volume of at least 850,000 shares
traded by midday. We are setting our initial stop at $67, to
minimize our downside risk.

Picked on April 8th@ $71.75
Change since picked 0.00
Stop Loss @ $67.00

 



NEW SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAYS 04/08/01
==================================

None



NEW MOMENTUM PLAYS 04/08/01
============================

SLXP - Salix Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. $15.06 (+0.06)

Salix Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. is a pharmaceutical company that
acquires and develops brand name, prescription pharmaceutical
products used to treat gastrointestinal diseases. SLXP went
public on November 20th. The stock began trading at $10 but it
slipped below its IPO price to an all-time low of $5.75 just 9
days later. Since then, shares of SLXP have performed rather
nicely. On Friday, the stock traded to an all-time high of
$16.31, which represents a 63% gain from the IPO price and a 184%
gain from the November 29th low. We believe that SLXP is in the
early stages of rally after moving to NASDAQ National Market from
the SmallCap Market, so the stock could see new highs in the near
future.  From a technical perspective, support is the 5-dma at
$14.49 with additional support at the 10-dma, currently at
$14.13. Resistance is the February 22nd intra-day high of $15.50
and then $16.31, Friday's intra-day high. A bounce off of $14.49
or a move above $15.50 on midday volume of at least 60,000 shares
may be possible entry points. One caveat, this can be a volatile
stock since it occasionally trades on light volume.  We plan to
set stops at $13.50 as downside protection.

Picked on April 8th @ $15.06
Change since picked +0.00
Stop Loss @ $13.50

 



=======
UPDATES
=======


SPLIT RUN PLAY UPDATES 04/08/01
===============================

None



SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY UPDATES 04/08/01
=====================================

EQT - Equitable Resources, Inc. $72.45 (+3.45)

Equitable Resources fell on profit taking on Friday following
three straight all-time highs earlier in the week. Shares of EQT
dipped to an intra-day low of $71.80 before bouncing back to a
close of $72.45 on volume of 276,000 shares. Despite the
pullback, EQT remains in a firm upward trend as we approach its
earnings release on April 20th before the bell. We are also
looking for a split announcement with the earnings report or out
of its annual meeting on May 17th. The stock is currently trading
within historic split range and the company has enough shares for
a split with 80 million shares authorized and 37.3 million shares
issued. In the meantime, support is Friday's intra-day low of
$71.80 with additional support at 70.59, Wednesday's intra-day
low. Resistance is holding steady at Thursday's intra-day high of
$74 and then possibly $76 or $77. Traders may consider starting
new plays on a bounce off of $71.80 or a breakout above $74 on
volume of at least 150,000 shares by noon. We are keeping our
stops at $70.00 to protect gains.

Picked on March 27th @ $67.20
Change since picked +5.25
Stop Loss @ $70.00

 

===

MKC - McCormick & Company $42.15 (+0.16)

McCormick & Company traded to an all-time high of $42.60 on
Friday. Unfortunately, the stock could not stay in positive
territory as the rest of the market sold off. Shares of MKC ended
the session at $42.15 on volume of 135,000 shares. The stock is
losing steam on declining volume so MKC may break the short-term
(2-week) upward trend and fall back to the long-term (1-year)
upward trend. The stock is currently trading within its historic
split range and the company has enough shares for a split with
160 million shares authorized and 61 million shares issued. MKC
is expected to announce earnings in June so we may get a split
announcement with the release. Until then, support has fallen to
Friday's intra-day low of $41.90 with stronger support at $41.45,
Monday's intra-day low. Resistance has come in at Friday's
intra-day high of $42.60 and then $43. A bounce off of $41.90 or
a breakout above $42.60 on midday volume greater than 90,000
shares may be possible entry points. Our stops remain at $38.75.

Picked on March 29th @ $41.43
Change since picked +0.72
Stop Loss @ $38.75

 

===

PFGC - Performance Food Group $53.50 (+1.00)

It was a terrible week for NASDAQ (COMPX) stocks in general.
However, PFGC, which is a major food producer that distributes
its products to a variety of institutions, displayed some solid
relative strength.  PFGC will likely be one of a dwindling number
of companies that will be able to show earnings growth when it
reports its quarterly results on May 1st.  Estimates are calling
for profits of $0.33, which would be an increase of six pennies
over the same quarter a year ago.  PFGC may be on the verge of a
major breakout.  Momentum traders will probably be tempted to bid
up shares once PFGC crosses over the $54.50 resistance. PFGC does
have a habit of staging very quick one-day rallies.  If PFGC does
gap up 3 points or more on Monday's open, traders will probably
get a better entry opportunity following a pullback in the first
hour or so of trading.  The MACD is signaling that more gains are
on the horizon.  The OBV is making a nice move and is foretelling
more bullish moves to come.  In the event of a pullback, look for
PFGC to find support at its 10-DMA of $52.28.  The 52-week high
of $56.75 is the next resistance level following $54.50.

Picked on March 25th @ $49.50
Change since picked +4.00
Stop Loss @ $51.25

 

===

SRCL - Stericycle, Inc. $45.00 (+0.38)

Stericycle, Inc. continues to consolidate in the $41.50-$46.50
range on average volume. On Friday, shares of SRCL hit an intra-
day high of $46.38 before pulling back to a close of $45 on
volume of 198,000 shares. The stock has failed to break out of
its ascending triangle three times in the last week and daily
volume has been trending lower.  SRCL may be trapped in the
$41.50-$46.50 range until the volume picks up. The earnings
report expected on May 1st after the bell may provide a catalyst.
In addition, as the stock bases, its OBV has gone to the moon,
which indicates that volume is growing on the buy side.  The
company has enough shares for a 3:2 split with 30 million shares
authorized and 15.3 million shares outstanding so we may also get
a split announcement with the earnings release. For now, support
is Friday's intra-day low of $44.63 with additional support at
$44.13, the 10-dma. Resistance is Thursday's intra-day high of
$46.50 and then the all-time high of $47. Look for a bounce off
of $44.63 or a move above $46.50 on midday volume of at least
125,000 shares before opening new positions. We are keeping our
stops at $41.50 as downside protection.

Picked on April 5th @ $46.00
Change since picked -1.00
Stop Loss @ $41.50

 

===

UHS - Universal Health Services $90.52 (+2.22)

UHS is somewhat inoculated from the current economic malaise
because it is an owner and operator of hospitals.  Medical care
is one of the last things people forego when they are feeling the
pinch.  This fact has helped UHS to maintain its earnings growth.
For the quarter that just ended, UHS is expected to post profits
of $1.12, which would be a nice increase of 22% over the same
quarter a year ago.  UHS is also a solid split candidate.  The
company's last split was paid out in May of 1996.  At that time,
the stock was trading at $56.38.  Now that the stock is trading
above $90.00, management must be tempted to announce a split
soon.  Stocks, especially those that trade on the NYSE, have a
peculiar habit of making a beeline to $100.00 once they cross
$90.00.  We believe that UHS has a good chance of enjoying this
phenomenon.  We have raised our stop to $89.00, which is just
below the support offered by Thursday's low print, in an attempt
to lock in our profits.  Investors may want to enter new
positions if UHS can stay above $89.00.  If UHS gaps up three or
more points on Monday's open, one might want to wait for a
pullback before going long.

Picked on March 15th @ $83.50
Change since picked +7.02
Stop Loss @ $89.00

 



MOMENTUM PLAY UPDATES 04/08/01
===============================

ACI - Arch Coal Incorporated $30.36 (+0.11)

With the price of coal more than doubling in recent months,
traders have turned up the heat within the coal industry. The
real standout in the sector has been ACI, which has added nearly
70% over the last three months. Sound like a momentum play? A
look at the daily chart will certainly convince you. What we
specifically like about the chart is how traders have been
consistently buying on the pullbacks. This note is of importance
to us now that ACI seems to be in the process of consolidating.
Turning to Friday's action, shares gave up 1.14 points or 3.62%
to finish the week at $30.36. Sector related weakness might have
been a contributing factor to Friday's fall, as the Standard &
Poor's Energy Index (AXE) slipped 2.02% to close at 1584. Volume
on the day came in just under the 3-month ADV, as 436,000 shares
crossed the tape. Should shares resume an uptrend into next week
we'll look for resistance to emerge at the high of $32, followed
by a harder challenge at the $35 mark. Support will come at $30,
bolstered by the 5-dma of $29.78. Look for entry points when
shares bounce off support or break above the $32 level on midday
volume of at least 280,000 shares.

Picked on April 5th@ $31.50
Change since picked -1.14
Stop Loss @ $28.25

 

===

KMB - Kimberly-Clark $66.50 (-1.33)

KMB actually held its ground pretty well last week, especially
after a bleak jobs report on Friday sent stocks plummeting again.
By offering a slew of everyday household and industrial products,
KMB has been able to maintain its earnings and has been very
attractive to investors looking to own more fundamentally sound
stocks.  In fact, at its latest analyst meeting, KMB announced
that it would be rolling out premoistened toilet paper to keep
ahead of the very competitive consumer products industry.
Whatever it takes, right?  KMB is currently consolidating just
below its 50-DMA of $68.13. This consolidation phase follows
KMB's March test of the 52-week high of $73.25.  A move back
above $68.13, accompanied by midday volume of over 1.1 million,
shares may prove to be an excellent entry point.  It looks like
KMB found some nice support at $64.56 on Friday.  Be cautious if
KMB falls below this support on Monday. Although the MACD is
still negative, it will likely issue a buy signal if we see KMB
advance two or more points on Monday.  The Money Flow is still
outstanding.  This is largely due to the fact that down days in
the stock price are accompanied by anemic volume, whereas up days
have seen very good volume.  This is a good sign that when KMB
finally does get moving, it could really stage a powerful rally.

Picked on April 1st @ $67.83
Change since picked -1.33
Stop Loss $62.50

 

===

UNP - Union Pacific Corporation $55.95 (-0.30)

Union Pacific Corporation closed below the 10-dma on Friday.
Shares of UNP traded to an intra-day low of $55.72 as the market
sold off. The stock ended the session at $55.95 on heavy volume
of 2.04 million shares. UNP has made four consecutive lower highs
on above-average volume and it closed below the 10-dma for the
first time since March 23rd. The stock has been trading in the
$55-$58 range for the past two weeks so UNP may need to form a
handle and test the $55 mark before it moves higher. Going
forward, UNP has support at Friday's intra-day low of $55.72 with
stronger support at $55.12, the March 28th intra-day low.
Resistance is the 5-dma at $56.66 and then Wednesday's intra-day
high of $57.15. Consider entry points on a bounce off of $55.72
or a move above $57.25 on volume greater than 600,000 shares by
noon. We are leaving our stops at $54.50 to limit potential
losses.

Picked on April 3rd @ $57.35
Change since picked -1.40
Stop Loss @ $54.50

 



=====
DROPS
=====


SPLIT RUN PLAY DROPS 04/08/01
=============================

MBI - MBIA Incorporated $75.10 (-5.58)

Heavy selling affected nearly every financial stock on the day,
as two major energy companies raised issues of credit quality
when they issued a $9 billion bankruptcy filing.  MBI was no
exception to the downdraft.  Our stop at $76.50 was taken out in
brisk trade.

Picked on April 2nd@ $81.70
Profit/Loss = -5.20 (-6%) (Stopped Friday @ $76.50)
Best Profit = +1.60 (+2%)

 

===

SBUX - Starbucks $37.25 (-5.19)

Starbucks never really percolated for us and actually went icy
cold on Friday.  The stock got swept up in the latest round of
NASDAQ (COMPX) selling and our stop was executed at $38.50.  This
was despite the company posting good same store sales figures and
despite the CEO reaffirming earnings for the year.  SBUX started
falling when it failed to stay above the 200-DMA of $42.41 early
last week.  Although the RSI is indicating an extremely oversold
condition that could result in a bounce, we do not see SBUX
making much progress until it can convincingly move above the
200-DMA.

Picked on March 29th @ $41.94
Profit/Loss -3.44 (8%) (Stopped Friday @ $38.50)
Best Profit +1.62 (4%)

 



SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY DROPS 04/08/01
===================================

RDN - Radian Group Incorporated $65.06 (-2.69)

Our aggressive, raised stop helped to lock in profits towards the
upper end of RDN's trading range. Given the current market
environment, we felt that a fairly tight stop was necessary for
protection against any possible swings to the downside. This
turned out to be the case on Friday, as a major bankruptcy filing
from a California utility company caused RDN to clip our stop at
$65.25.

Picked on March 18th @ $61.00
Profit/Loss = +4.25 (+7%) (Stopped out Friday @ $65.25)
Best Profit = +7.98 (+13%)

 



MOMENTUM PLAY DROPS 04/08/01
=============================

None



PLAY-OF-THE-DAY
===============

Sunday, April 8, 2001
=============================

SLXP - Salix Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. $15.06 (+0.06)

Sunday's Comment:

Salix Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. is a pharmaceutical company that
acquires and develops brand name, prescription pharmaceutical
products used to treat gastrointestinal diseases. SLXP went
public on November 20th. The stock began trading at $10 but it
slipped below its IPO price to an all-time low of $5.75 just nine
days later. Since then, shares of SLXP have performed rather
nicely. On Friday, the stock traded to an all-time high of
$16.31, which represents a 63% gain from the IPO price and a 184%
gain from the November 29th low. We believe that SLXP is in the
early stages of rally after moving to NASDAQ National Market from
the SmallCap Market, so the stock could see new highs in the near
future.  From a technical perspective, support is the 5-dma at
$14.49 with additional support at the 10-dma, currently at
$14.13. Resistance is the February 22nd intra-day high of $15.50
and then $16.31, Friday's intra-day high. A bounce off of $14.49
or a move above $15.50 on midday volume of at least 60,000 shares
may be possible entry points. One caveat, this can be a volatile
stock since it occasionally trades on light volume.  We plan to
set stops at $13.50 as downside protection.

Picked on April 8th @ $15.06
Change since picked +0.00
Stop Loss @ $13.50

 



================================================================
Weekly Play Results (04/02 - 04/06)
================================================================

Plays   Beginning Price    Ending Price    Gain/Loss    % Change
-----   ---------------    ------------    ---------    --------

ACI          $31.50           $30.36        -$1.14        -3.62%
EQT          $69.00           $72.45         $3.45         5.00%
KMB          $67.83           $66.50        -$1.33        -1.96%
MBI          $81.70           $76.50        -$5.20        -6.36%
MKC          $41.99           $42.15         $0.16         0.38%
PFGC         $52.50           $53.50         $1.00         1.90%
RDN          $67.75           $65.25        -$2.50        -3.69%
SBUX         $42.44           $38.50        -$3.94        -9.28%
SRCL         $46.00           $45.00        -$1.00        -2.17%
THQI         $38.00           $35.00        -$3.00        -7.89%
UHS          $88.30           $90.52         $2.22         2.51%
UNP          $57.35           $55.95        -$1.40        -2.44%
WM           $54.75           $50.75        -$4.00        -7.31%


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